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Foresight Scenario Method×Patent Analysis×
DomeniuScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
FamilieProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Anul apariției19951994
Autorul originalPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics traditionFrancis Narin (patent bibliometrics) and the patent-analytics community
TipStructured future-construction processDocument-based technological-intelligence process
Sursa seminalăSchoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗Narin, F. (1994). Patent bibliometrics. Scientometrics, 30(1), 147-155. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario buildingPatent analytics, Patent bibliometrics, Patent landscaping
Înrudite44
RezumatThe scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.Patent analysis, or patanalytics, mines the documents and metadata in patent databases to generate technological intelligence. Because patents are structured, dated, classified, and citation-linked records of inventive activity, analysing patent counts, citations, classification codes, applicants, and text reveals who is innovating where, in which technologies, how fields connect, and how the technological landscape is shifting—evidence that feeds competitive intelligence, R&D strategy, and foresight.
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  2. 2 Surse
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Surse
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateCompară metode: Foresight Scenario Method · Patent Analysis. Preluat la 2026-06-25 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare