Compară metode

	Evacuation Time Estimation Modeling	Household Disaster Preparedness Scale
Domeniu	Disaster Studies	Disaster Studies
Familie	Process / pipeline	Latent structure
Anul apariției	2008	2000
Autorul original	Michael K. Lindell (EMBLEM2); regional evacuation modeling tradition	Michael K. Lindell & David J. Whitney
Tip	Behavioral-and-network model of mass evacuation duration	Multi-item measurement scale of household preparedness behavior
Sursa seminală	Lindell, M. K. (2008). EMBLEM2: An empirically based large scale evacuation time estimate model. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 42(1), 140-154.	Lindell, M. K., & Whitney, D. J. (2000). Correlates of Household Seismic Hazard Adjustment Adoption. Risk Analysis, 20(1), 13-26.
Denumiri alternative	Evacuation Time Estimate Modeling, ETE Modeling, Mass Evacuation Modeling	Disaster Preparedness Scale, Household Hazard Adjustment Scale, Preparedness Behavior Index
Înrudite	3	3
Rezumat	Evacuation time estimate (ETE) modeling predicts how long it will take to move an at-risk population to safety, a quantity central to emergency planning for hurricanes, floods, wildfires, nuclear plants, and other hazards. The method joins two ingredients: a behavioral component describing when households decide to leave — the mobilization or 'loading' curve, grounded in warning-response research such as the Protective Action Decision Model — and a transportation component describing how fast the road network can carry them away. Michael Lindell's EMBLEM2 exemplifies the empirically based approach, letting emergency managers compute ETEs from a modest set of route, behavioral, and scope parameters and even update them in real time as a hazard approaches. By combining human departure timing with network capacity, ETE modeling tells planners when to issue evacuation orders and where congestion will bind, turning evacuation from guesswork into quantified logistics.	A household disaster preparedness scale measures the extent to which households have adopted actions that reduce their vulnerability to hazards — what the disaster literature calls hazard adjustments. Grounded in Michael Lindell and David Whitney's work on the correlates of seismic hazard adjustment adoption and connected to the broader Protective Action Decision Model, the scale assembles a set of concrete preparedness items — structural measures, survival supplies, and planning actions — and scores how many a household has taken. Beyond producing a preparedness index, the method models what predicts adoption, and a central, robust finding is that households' perceptions of the attributes of each adjustment (its efficacy, cost, time, and difficulty) predict adoption more strongly than fear or risk perception alone. The scale thus serves both to quantify preparedness and to explain why some households prepare while others do not.