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Modelul ARIMA (Autoregresiv Integrat cu Medii Mobile)×Regresie Locală LOESS / LOWESS×
DomeniuEconometrieÎnvățare automată
FamilieRegression modelMachine learning
Anul apariției20151979
Autorul originalBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)William S. Cleveland
TipUnivariate time-series modelLocal nonparametric regression smoother
Sursa seminalăBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Cleveland, W. S. (1979). Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(368), 829–836. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliLOWESS, local regression, locally weighted scatterplot smoothing, yerel regresyon
Înrudite53
RezumatARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing), introduced by William Cleveland in 1979 and extended with Susan Devlin in 1988, fits a smooth curve through data by performing a separate weighted polynomial regression in the neighbourhood of each point. Nearby observations count more than distant ones, so the method follows local structure without assuming any global functional form, making it a popular exploratory smoother for scatterplots.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: ARIMA · LOESS. Preluat la 2026-06-20 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare