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Examinează metodele selectate una lângă alta; rândurile care diferă sunt evidențiate.

Modelul ARIMA (Autoregresiv Integrat cu Medii Mobile)×Testul de cauzalitate Granger×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției20151969
Autorul originalBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Clive W. J. Granger
TipUnivariate time-series modelTime-series predictive causality test
Sursa seminalăBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Înrudite55
RezumatARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: ARIMA · Granger Causality. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare