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Microsimulação de Cenários de Políticas×Microsimulação×
ÁreaSimulaçãoSimulação
FamíliaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Ano de origem19571957
Autor originalGuy H. OrcuttGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects
TipoSimulation — individual-level policy scenario analysisPolicy simulation / computational social science
Fonte seminalOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗
Outros nomesPSM, Policy Microsimulation, Scenario-Based Microsimulation, Policy Impact MicrosimulationMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation
Relacionados55
ResumoPolicy Scenario Microsimulation applies microsimulation methods to evaluate and compare the distributional and aggregate effects of alternative policy scenarios on a synthetic population. By simulating individual-level behaviour under each policy regime, researchers can measure winners and losers, fiscal costs, and equity outcomes before real implementation.Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Policy Scenario Microsimulation · Microsimulation. Recuperado em 2026-06-15 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare