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Multi-Criteria Policy Analysis×Análise de Cenários de Políticas×
ÁreaPublic PolicySimulação
FamíliaMCDMProcess / pipeline
Ano de origem20021967–1990s
Autor originalValerie Belton & Theodor Stewart (synthesis); MCDA traditionKahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
TipoMulti-criteria decision analysis applied to policy appraisalQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
Fonte seminalBelton, V., & Stewart, T. J. (2002). Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: An Integrated Approach. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers. ISBN: 9780792375050Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
Outros nomesMulti-Criteria Analysis for Policy, MCDA Policy Appraisal, MCA in Policy, Multi-Criteria Policy AppraisalPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Relacionados35
ResumoMulti-criteria policy analysis applies multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to appraise and rank policy options against several, often conflicting, objectives that cannot be reduced to a single money metric. Each option is scored on a set of explicit criteria — economic, social, environmental, distributional — the criteria are weighted to reflect their relative importance, and the scores are aggregated into an overall value that ranks the options. Set out comprehensively in Belton and Stewart's 2002 textbook and operationalised for government in the UK's widely used Multi-Criteria Analysis Manual, the approach makes the trade-offs in a policy decision transparent and structured rather than implicit.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Multi-Criteria Policy Analysis · Policy Scenario Analysis. Recuperado em 2026-06-25 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare