Comparar métodos

	Aproximação de Laplace	Propagação de Expectância (EP)
Área	Bayesiano	Bayesiano
Família	Bayesian methods	Bayesian methods
Ano de origem	1986	2001
Autor original	Pierre-Simon Laplace (1774); Bayesian formalisation: Tierney & Kadane (1986)	Thomas P. Minka
Tipo	Analytical posterior approximation	Approximate inference algorithm
Fonte seminal	Tierney, L. & Kadane, J. B. (1986). Accurate approximations for posterior moments and marginal densities. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(393), 82–86.	Minka, T. P. (2001). Expectation propagation for approximate Bayesian inference. In Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-01), pp. 362–369. Morgan Kaufmann.
Outros nomes	Laplace's method, saddle-point approximation (Bayesian), second-order Gaussian approximation, LA	EP, expectation propagation, EP algorithm, assumed-density filtering generalisation
Relacionados	3	3
Resumo	The Laplace approximation is a classical analytic technique that replaces an intractable posterior distribution with a multivariate Gaussian centred at the posterior mode, using the curvature of the log-posterior at that mode to set the covariance. Formalised for Bayesian statistics by Tierney and Kadane (1986) in their landmark Journal of the American Statistical Association paper, it provides a fast, deterministic alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo and forms the mathematical core of Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA).	Expectation Propagation (EP) is a deterministic message-passing algorithm for approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models, introduced by Thomas P. Minka at UAI 2001. It iteratively refines a set of local approximate factors — each drawn from the exponential family — so that their product closely matches the true intractable posterior, achieving higher accuracy than mean-field variational inference on many probabilistic machine learning tasks.