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Reservas de Sinistros por Cadeia de Escada (Modelo de Mack)×Modelo de Distribuição de Perdas×
ÁreaCiências atuariaisCiências atuariais
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem19932012
Autor originalThomas MackKlugman, Panjer & Willmot
TipoStochastic loss reserving modelParametric probability model
Fonte seminalMack, T. (1993). Distribution-free calculation of the standard error of chain ladder reserve estimates. ASTIN Bulletin, 23(2), 213–225. DOI ↗Klugman, S. A., Panjer, H. H., & Willmot, G. E. (2012). Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (4th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-31532-3
Outros nomesDevelopment Factor Method, Link Ratio Method, Loss Development Method, Zincir Merdiven YöntemiSeverity-Frequency Model, Aggregate Loss Model, Claim Size Distribution Model, Hasar Dağılımı Modeli
Relacionados33
ResumoChain-Ladder Reserving is a stochastic actuarial method for estimating outstanding claim liabilities from a run-off triangle of cumulative paid losses. Formalized by Thomas Mack in 1993, it provides distribution-free estimates of reserve amounts along with their standard errors, making it a cornerstone of property-casualty insurance reserving and regulatory practice worldwide.A Loss Distribution Model is a parametric statistical framework used in actuarial science to characterise the probabilistic behaviour of insurance claim amounts and frequencies. Developed comprehensively by Klugman, Panjer, and Willmot in their foundational text Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (first edition 1998, fourth edition 2012), these models underpin premium rating, reserving, reinsurance pricing, and regulatory capital calculations across the insurance and risk-management industries.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Chain-Ladder Reserving · Loss Distribution Model. Recuperado em 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare