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| Model AR ze zmianami strukturalnymi× | Model ARIMA ze strukturalnym przełamaniem× | |
|---|---|---|
| Dziedzina | Ekonometria | Ekonometria |
| Rodzina | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok powstania≠ | 1989-2003 | 1989-1998 |
| Twórca≠ | Perron (1989); Bai & Perron (1998, 2003) | Perron (1989); extended by Bai & Perron (1998) |
| Typ≠ | Time-series model with structural change | Time series model with regime detection |
| Źródło pierwotne≠ | Bai, J., & Perron, P. (2003). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 1-22. DOI ↗ | Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47-78. DOI ↗ |
| Inne nazwy | AR model with structural change, breakpoint AR model, piecewise autoregressive model, AR model with regime shifts | ARIMA with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARIMA, piecewise ARIMA, ARIMA with regime shifts |
| Pokrewne≠ | 6 | 3 |
| Podsumowanie≠ | The structural break AR model extends the standard autoregressive framework by allowing the intercept and autoregressive coefficients to shift at one or more unknown break dates. Each regime between consecutive break points is governed by its own AR parameters, capturing abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series caused by crises, policy shifts, or other shocks. | A structural break ARIMA model extends the standard ARIMA framework by explicitly identifying and accommodating one or more abrupt shifts in the level, trend, or dynamics of a time series. Rather than forcing a single set of ARIMA parameters across the entire sample, it fits separate ARIMA specifications for each regime defined by the detected break dates. |
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