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Model AR ze zmianami strukturalnymi×Model Autoregresywny (AR)×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania1989-20031970s (popularised 1976)
TwórcaPerron (1989); Bai & Perron (1998, 2003)George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypTime-series model with structural changeTime series model
Źródło pierwotneBai, J., & Perron, P. (2003). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 1-22. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Inne nazwyAR model with structural change, breakpoint AR model, piecewise autoregressive model, AR model with regime shiftsAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Pokrewne66
PodsumowanieThe structural break AR model extends the standard autoregressive framework by allowing the intercept and autoregressive coefficients to shift at one or more unknown break dates. Each regime between consecutive break points is governed by its own AR parameters, capturing abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series caused by crises, policy shifts, or other shocks.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGatePorównaj metody: Structural Break AR Model · Autoregressive model. Pobrano 2026-06-15 z https://scholargate.app/pl/compare