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Solidny Model Autoregresyjny Rozłożony na Długach (Robust NARDL)×Test granic ARDL (Pesaran Bounds Test)×Regresja metodą najmniejszych kwadratów (OLS)×Regresja kwantylowa×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania2014–2020s200120191978
TwórcaExtension of Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) NARDL framework with robust (outlier-resistant) estimationPesaran, Shin & SmithWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresKoenker & Bassett
TypNonlinear time-series regression with robust estimationCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelLinear regressionConditional quantile regression
Źródło pierwotneShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Inne nazwyRobust Nonlinear ARDL, Outlier-Robust NARDL, Robust Asymmetric ARDL, R-NARDLPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Pokrewne3455
PodsumowanieRobust NARDL marries the asymmetric cointegration framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with outlier-resistant estimation. It decomposes a regressor into positive and negative partial sums, tests for asymmetric long-run relationships via a bounds test, and replaces the OLS criterion with an M- or MM-estimator to guard against leverage points and additive outliers common in macroeconomic and financial time series.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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