Porównaj metody
Przeglądaj wybrane metody obok siebie; wiersze, które się różnią, są wyróżnione.
| Model Robust GARCH× | Model ARCH (Autoregresywna Heteroskedastyczność Warunkowa)× | Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | Regresja kwantylowa× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dziedzina | Ekonometria | Ekonometria | Ekonometria | Ekonometria |
| Rodzina | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok powstania≠ | 1986–2013 | 1982 | 1991 | 1978 |
| Twórca≠ | Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986) | Robert F. Engle | Daniel B. Nelson | Koenker & Bassett |
| Typ≠ | Volatility model | Conditional volatility model | Volatility / conditional variance model | Conditional quantile regression |
| Źródło pierwotne≠ | Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ | Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗ |
| Inne nazwy≠ | Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH | conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon |
| Pokrewne≠ | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Podsumowanie≠ | The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. | Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails. |
| ScholarGateZbiór danych ↗ |
|
|
|
|