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| Ocena Polityki Ewaluacja Wpływu Kontrfaktycznego (CIE)× | Ewaluacja wpływu metodą kontrfaktyczną (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Dziedzina | Wnioskowanie przyczynowe | Wnioskowanie przyczynowe |
| Rodzina | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok powstania≠ | 1974 (Rubin potential outcomes); 2010s (EU policy CIE formalisation) | 1970s–2000s |
| Twórca≠ | Rubin (potential outcomes framework); European Commission DG Research formalised policy CIE guidelines | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Typ≠ | Quasi-experimental causal evaluation | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Źródło pierwotne≠ | Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015). Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521885881 | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Inne nazwy | CIE, policy CIE, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Pokrewne | 5 | 5 |
| Podsumowanie≠ | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) for policy assessment estimates the causal effect of a public policy or programme by comparing observed outcomes of participants against a rigorously constructed counterfactual — what would have happened had the policy not existed. Rooted in the Rubin potential-outcomes framework, CIE is the standard methodology endorsed by the European Commission for evaluating research, innovation, and structural funding programmes. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
| ScholarGateZbiór danych ↗ |
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