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| Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | Model GARCH (Prognozowanie zmienności)× | Regresja kwantylowa× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dziedzina | Ekonometria | Ekonometria | Ekonometria |
| Rodzina | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok powstania≠ | 1991 | 1986 | 1978 |
| Twórca≠ | Daniel B. Nelson | Tim Bollerslev | Koenker & Bassett |
| Typ≠ | Volatility / conditional variance model | Conditional volatility model | Conditional quantile regression |
| Źródło pierwotne≠ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ | Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗ |
| Inne nazwy≠ | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) | conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon |
| Pokrewne≠ | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Podsumowanie≠ | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. | Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails. |
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