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Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Model ARIMA (Autoregresyjny Zintegrowany Model Średniej Ruchomej)×Model DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania199119702002
TwórcaDaniel B. NelsonGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsRobert F. Engle
TypVolatility / conditional variance modelTime series forecasting modelMultivariate volatility model
Źródło pierwotneNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
Inne nazwyExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
Pokrewne665
PodsumowanieThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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ScholarGatePorównaj metody: EGARCH model · ARIMA model · DCC-GARCH model. Pobrano 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/pl/compare