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Process / pipelineExpert elicitation and forecasting

Technology Delphi

The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.

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Kilder

  1. Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948
  2. Cuhls, K. (2003). From forecasting to foresight processes—new participative foresight activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting, 22(2-3), 93-111. DOI: 10.1002/for.848

Slik siterer du denne siden

ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Delphi Method for Technology Foresight (Large-Scale Technology Delphi). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/no/science-technology-studies/delphi-foresight

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ScholarGateTechnology Delphi (Delphi Method for Technology Foresight (Large-Scale Technology Delphi)). Hentet 2026-06-24 fra https://scholargate.app/no/science-technology-studies/delphi-foresight · Datasett: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026