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Regional Flood Frequency Analysis×Peaks-Over-Threshold Flood Analysis×
FagfeltDisaster StudiesDisaster Studies
FamilieProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Opprinnelsesår19971999
OpphavspersonJ. R. M. Hosking & J. R. Wallis (L-moments regional frequency analysis)M. Lang, T. B. M. J. Ouarda & B. Bobée (operational POT guidelines); Pickands–Balkema–de Haan theory
TypePooled (index-flood) extreme-value frequency estimation pipelineThreshold-exceedance extreme-value frequency pipeline
Opprinnelig kildeHosking, J. R. M., & Wallis, J. R. (1997). Regional Frequency Analysis: An Approach Based on L-Moments. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521430456Lang, M., Ouarda, T. B. M. J., & Bobée, B. (1999). Towards operational guidelines for over-threshold modeling. Journal of Hydrology, 225(3-4), 103-117. DOI ↗
AliasRegional Frequency Analysis, Index-Flood Method, L-Moments Regionalization, Pooled Flood Frequency AnalysisPOT Flood Analysis, Partial Duration Series Analysis, Generalized Pareto Flood Modeling, Threshold Exceedance Flood Frequency
Relaterte33
SammendragRegional flood frequency analysis estimates flood quantiles by pooling data across many hydrologically similar sites rather than relying on a single short record, which sharply reduces the uncertainty of rare-flood estimates and—crucially—allows estimation at ungauged sites. The dominant framework, codified by Hosking and Wallis in their 1997 book Regional Frequency Analysis: An Approach Based on L-Moments, rests on the index-flood assumption: within a homogeneous region, the flood frequency distributions at all sites are identical apart from a site-specific scale factor, the index flood. The method uses L-moments — linear combinations of order statistics that are far more robust than conventional moments for small samples and heavy tails (building on Hosking, Wallis, and Wood's earlier probability-weighted-moment work) — to test regional homogeneity, choose a common distribution, and fit a dimensionless regional growth curve that is then rescaled by each site's index flood. It is the standard approach for design-flood estimation where individual records are short or absent.Peaks-over-threshold (POT) flood analysis models every independent flood peak that exceeds a chosen high threshold, rather than only the single largest peak in each year. The number of exceedances in time is treated as a Poisson process and the amounts by which peaks exceed the threshold are modeled with the Generalized Pareto distribution — the extreme-value limit for threshold exceedances given by the Pickands-Balkema-de Haan theorem. Because a wet year may contain several damaging floods and a dry year none, POT (also called the partial duration series) uses the data more efficiently than the annual-maximum approach, which is why Lang, Ouarda, and Bobée's 1999 operational guidelines and USGS Bulletin 17C both treat it as a key complement to annual-maximum frequency analysis. The method delivers the same design-flood quantiles for chosen return periods, often with lower variance at short return periods.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Regional Flood Frequency Analysis · Peaks-Over-Threshold Flood Analysis. Hentet 2026-06-25 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare