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Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation×Analyse av politikkscenarier×
FagfeltSimuleringSimulering
FamilieProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Opprinnelsesår1960s–1990s1967–1990s
OpphavspersonTocher, K. D. and Gordon, G. (early DES); policy scenario extension emerged through operations research and health policy modeling communitiesKahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
TypeSimulation-based policy evaluationQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
Opprinnelig kildeLaw, A. M. (2015). Simulation Modeling and Analysis (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN: 9780073401324Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
AliasPolicy DES, Scenario-based DES, Policy simulation DES, DES policy analysisPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Relaterte55
SammendragPolicy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation combines the event-by-event fidelity of Discrete-Event Simulation with systematic policy scenario analysis to evaluate how different interventions, regulations, or resource allocations change system performance. By running multiple well-defined policy scenarios through the same DES model, analysts can compare outcomes — throughput, waiting times, costs — across alternatives before real-world implementation.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation · Policy Scenario Analysis. Hentet 2026-06-19 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare