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Criminal Career Paradigm×Recidivism Survival Analysis×
FagfeltCriminologyCriminology
FamilieProcess / pipelineSurvival analysis
Opprinnelsesår19861988
OpphavspersonAlfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen, Jeffrey Roth & Christy VisherDavid R. Cox (method); Peter Schmidt & Ann Dryden Witte (criminological application)
TypeConceptual framework for decomposing offending over the life courseTime-to-event regression for reoffending
Opprinnelig kildeBlumstein, A., Cohen, J., Roth, J. A., & Visher, C. A. (Eds.). (1986). Criminal Careers and 'Career Criminals' (Vols. 1–2). National Academy Press. ISBN: 9780309036887Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 34(2), 187–202. DOI ↗
AliasCriminal Careers Framework, Career Criminal Paradigm, Offending Career Approach, Blumstein Criminal Career ModelTime-to-Recidivism Modeling, Recidivism Hazard Modeling, Failure-Time Analysis of Reoffending, Survival Analysis of Reoffending
Relaterte44
SammendragThe criminal career paradigm is a framework for studying offending as a longitudinal sequence in an individual's life rather than as undifferentiated aggregate crime. Codified by Blumstein, Cohen, Roth, and Visher in the 1986 National Academy of Sciences report, it decomposes crime into distinct dimensions — whether someone offends (participation), how often active offenders offend (frequency, λ), and the onset, seriousness, and duration of the career — each potentially with different causes.Recidivism survival analysis models the time from a release or index event until an individual reoffends, treating reoffending as a time-to-event ('failure') outcome with censoring for those not observed to fail. It applies survival methods — Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and split-population models — to answer not just whether someone recidivates but how quickly and what raises or lowers that risk over time.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Criminal Career Paradigm · Recidivism Survival Analysis. Hentet 2026-06-25 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare