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Dynamic Panel Models in Politics×Arellano-Bond GMM-schatter×
VakgebiedPolitical ScienceEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Jaar van ontstaan19951991
GrondleggerNathaniel Beck & Jonathan Katz; Manuel Arellano & Stephen BondManuel Arellano and Stephen Bond
TypeDynamic regression model for time-series cross-section dataGMM estimator for dynamic panel data
Oorspronkelijke bronBeck, N., & Katz, J. N. (1995). What to Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data. American Political Science Review, 89(3), 634–647. DOI ↗Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297. DOI ↗
AliassenDynamic TSCS models, Lagged dependent variable panel models, Time-series cross-section dynamic models, Dynamic time-series cross-section analysisAB-GMM, Difference GMM, first-difference GMM, Arellano-Bond estimator
Verwant45
SamenvattingDynamic panel models for political science analyze time-series cross-section (TSCS) data — repeated observations on countries, dyads, states, or other units over many years — where the outcome today depends on its own past. By including a lagged dependent variable alongside unit fixed effects, these models capture persistence and inertia common in comparative politics and international relations, but doing so introduces the Nickell bias. Estimators such as Arellano-Bond and system GMM, and design choices such as Beck-Katz panel-corrected standard errors, were developed to recover credible dynamic estimates from such data.The Arellano-Bond GMM estimator is the standard approach for dynamic panel data models in which the lagged dependent variable appears as a regressor. By first-differencing to remove fixed effects and using deeper lags as instruments, it yields consistent estimates even when the error is serially correlated and regressors are endogenous.
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