Foresight Scenario Method
The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.
Baca kaedah sepenuhnya
Log masuk dengan akaun percuma untuk membaca bahagian ini.
Peta kaedah
Kejiranan kaedah berkaitan — pilih satu nod untuk meneroka.
Sumber
- Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗
- Varum, C. A., & Melo, C. (2010). Directions in scenario planning literature – a review of the past decades. Futures, 42(4), 355-369. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021 ↗
Cara memetik halaman ini
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Scenario Method for Foresight. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/ms/science-technology-studies/foresight-scenario-method
Kaedah yang mana?
Letakkan kaedah ini di sebelah kaedah yang paling rapat dengannya dan baca secara bersebelahan — perpustakaan menyusun buku di atas meja; pilihan terletak pada anda.
- Horizon ScanningScience Technology Studies↔ banding
- Technology DelphiScience Technology Studies↔ banding
- Technology ForesightScience Technology Studies↔ banding
- Technology RoadmappingScience Technology Studies↔ banding
Dirujuk oleh
Kaedah serupa
Terjumpa masalah pada halaman ini? Laporkan atau cadangkan pembetulan →