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OLS Pecah Struktur×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1960–19981970
PengasasChow (1960) for the breakpoint test; Bai & Perron (1998) for multiple break estimationGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
JenisSegmented linear regressionTime series forecasting model
Sumber perintisBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasOLS with structural breaks, piecewise OLS, regime-switching OLS, breakpoint regressionARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Berkaitan66
RingkasanStructural Break OLS extends ordinary least squares to allow regression coefficients to shift at one or more breakpoints in time or across regimes. Rather than forcing a single coefficient vector across the entire sample, the model partitions the data and estimates a separate OLS regression within each segment, making it appropriate when economic relationships are suspected to change due to policy shifts, crises, or other structural events.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Structural Break OLS · ARIMA model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare