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NARDL Pecahan Struktur×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2014–20181970
PengasasShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (NARDL base); structural break extensions by subsequent applied researchersGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
JenisNonlinear cointegration with structural breaksTime series forecasting model
Sumber perintisShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasSB-NARDL, NARDL with structural breaks, nonlinear ARDL with break, asymmetric ARDL structural breakARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Berkaitan66
RingkasanStructural Break NARDL extends the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) bounds-testing framework by explicitly accommodating one or more structural breaks in the long-run relationship. It separates positive and negative changes in the regressor, tests for cointegration, and allows regime shifts, providing a richer picture of asymmetric and break-sensitive dynamics between variables.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Structural Break NARDL · ARIMA model. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare