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Kausaliti Granger Pecahan Struktur×Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1995-20101980
PengasasGranger (1969) causality framework extended by Toda & Yamamoto (1995) and Balcilar et al. (2010)Christopher A. Sims
JenisHypothesis test / time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisToda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
Aliasbreak-robust Granger causality, Granger causality under regime change, time-varying Granger causality, structural change Granger testVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Berkaitan35
RingkasanStructural break Granger causality extends the classic Granger causality framework to accommodate regime shifts and parameter instability in time series. By detecting break points and testing causality within sub-samples or via rolling/recursive windows, it reveals whether a predictive relationship between variables switches on, switches off, or changes direction over time.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Structural Break Granger Causality · Vector Autoregression. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare