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Model GARCH Teguh×Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1986–20131986
PengasasBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Tim Bollerslev
JenisVolatility modelConditional volatility model
Sumber perintisBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Berkaitan55
RingkasanThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Robust GARCH model · GARCH Model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare