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Model VAR Tak Linear×Model ARDL Taklinear (NARDL)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1990s–2000s2014
PengasasTsay (1998); Krolzig (1997); Tong (1990) for threshold frameworkShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
JenisMultivariate nonlinear time series modelNonlinear cointegration model
Sumber perintisTsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188–1202. DOI ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
AliasNLVAR, nonlinear vector autoregression, threshold VAR, TVARNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
Berkaitan45
RingkasanThe Nonlinear VAR (NLVAR) model extends the standard vector autoregression by allowing the dynamic relationships among multiple time series to switch or change smoothly depending on an observed threshold variable, a latent regime state, or a smooth transition function. It is used when economic systems exhibit asymmetric responses, regime shifts, or state-dependent dynamics that a linear VAR cannot capture.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Nonlinear VAR Model · Nonlinear ARDL. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare