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Model Autoregresif Tak Linear (NAR)×Model Pembetulan Ralat Vektor Tak Linear (VECM Tak Linear)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1978-19901989–1998
PengasasTong, H. (threshold AR); Terasvirta, T. (STAR variant)Granger & Lee (1989); Enders & Granger (1998)
JenisNonlinear time series modelNonlinear time-series model
Sumber perintisTong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522201Enders, W., & Granger, C. W. J. (1998). Unit-root tests and asymmetric adjustment with an example using the term structure of interest rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(3), 304–311. DOI ↗
AliasNAR model, nonlinear autoregression, NLAR, threshold autoregressive modelnonlinear VECM, NVECM, threshold VECM, asymmetric VECM
Berkaitan62
RingkasanThe Nonlinear AR model extends the classical autoregressive framework by allowing the mapping from past values to the current value to follow an arbitrary or regime-switching nonlinear function. Major families include the Self-Exciting Threshold AR (SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR), and neural network AR, each capturing different forms of asymmetry, regime shifts, or smooth nonlinear dynamics in univariate time series.The Nonlinear VECM extends the standard linear VECM by allowing the speed of adjustment toward long-run equilibrium to differ depending on the sign, magnitude, or regime of deviations from that equilibrium. It captures asymmetric or threshold-driven dynamics in cointegrated time-series systems that a standard VECM would miss.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Nonlinear AR Model · Nonlinear VECM. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare