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Regresi MIDAS: Peramalan Merentas Frekuensi Data Campuran×Model ARIMA (Autoregresif Bersepadu Purata Bergerak)×Model Faktor Dinamik×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2007201520022005
PengasasEric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko & Rossen ValkanovBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)James Stock & Mark WatsonLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisParametric mixed-frequency forecasting modelUnivariate time-series modelLatent-factor time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisGhysels, E., Sinko, A., & Valkanov, R. (2007). MIDAS regressions: Further results and new directions. Econometric Reviews, 26(1), 53–90. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147–162. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasMixed Frequency Regression, Mixed Data Sampling Model, High-Frequency Forecasting Regression, MIDAS RegresyonuBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDiffusion Index Model, Large-Scale Factor Model, Approximate Factor Model, Dinamik Faktör Modelivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan3524
RingkasanMIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) Regression is an econometric framework that directly incorporates high-frequency predictors into models for lower-frequency outcome variables without requiring temporal aggregation of the regressors. Introduced by Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko, and Rossen Valkanov in 2007, MIDAS uses parsimoniously parameterized lag polynomials — such as the Beta or Exponential Almon weighting schemes — to summarize the information content of many high-frequency lags while avoiding parameter proliferation.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).A Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) extracts a small number of latent common factors from a large panel of economic time series and uses those factors to forecast or nowcast a target variable. Formalized for macroeconomic forecasting by James Stock and Mark Watson in their 2002 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics paper, DFMs handle hundreds of indicators simultaneously while avoiding the curse of dimensionality that plagues traditional multivariate models.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: MIDAS Regression · ARIMA · Dynamic Factor Model · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare