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| Regresi MIDAS: Peramalan Merentas Frekuensi Data Campuran× | Model ARIMA (Autoregresif Bersepadu Purata Bergerak)× | Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Ekonometrik | Ekonometrik | Ekonometrik |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2007 | 2015 | 2005 |
| Pengasas≠ | Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko & Rossen Valkanov | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| Jenis≠ | Parametric mixed-frequency forecasting model | Univariate time-series model | Multivariate time-series model |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Ghysels, E., Sinko, A., & Valkanov, R. (2007). MIDAS regressions: Further results and new directions. Econometric Reviews, 26(1), 53–90. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Alias≠ | Mixed Frequency Regression, Mixed Data Sampling Model, High-Frequency Forecasting Regression, MIDAS Regresyonu | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| Berkaitan≠ | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Ringkasan≠ | MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) Regression is an econometric framework that directly incorporates high-frequency predictors into models for lower-frequency outcome variables without requiring temporal aggregation of the regressors. Introduced by Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko, and Rossen Valkanov in 2007, MIDAS uses parsimoniously parameterized lag polynomials — such as the Beta or Exponential Almon weighting schemes — to summarize the information content of many high-frequency lags while avoiding parameter proliferation. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
| ScholarGateSet data ↗ |
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