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Model Ingatan Jangka Panjang (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×Model ARIMA (Autoregresif Bersepadu Purata Bergerak)×Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)×Analisis Mikrostruktur Pasaran dan Data Frekuensi Tinggi×
BidangKewanganEkonometrikEkonometrikKewangan
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1980201519862007
PengasasGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Tim BollerslevHasbrouck (2007); Aït-Sahalia & Jacod (2014)
JenisFractionally integrated time series modelUnivariate time-series modelConditional volatility modelMarket microstructure / high-frequency econometrics
Sumber perintisGranger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical Market Microstructure: The Institutions, Economics, and Econometrics of Securities Trading. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0195301649
AliasARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integrationBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)market microstructure, high-frequency financial econometrics, tick data analysis, Yüksek Frekanslı Veri ve Piyasa Mikro Yapısı
Berkaitan4555
RingkasanLong-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Market microstructure analysis studies how prices form from tick-level trade and quote data, examining order-book dynamics, the bid-ask spread, and price discovery. The modern econometric framework was set out by Hasbrouck (2007) and extended for high-frequency data by Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2014).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Long-Memory Models · ARIMA · GARCH Model · Market Microstructure Analysis. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare