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Ujian Ko-integrasi Johansen dan Model Pembetulan Ralat Vektor×Ujian Sempadan ARDL (Ujian Sempadan Pesaran)×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangKewanganEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199120012005
PengasasSøren JohansenPesaran, Shin & SmithLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisJohansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan344
RingkasanThe Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Johansen Cointegration Test · ARDL Bounds Test · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare