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Ujian Kausaliti Granger×Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19691980
PengasasClive W. J. GrangerChristopher A. Sims
JenisCausality test (F-test on VAR)Multivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
AliasGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality testVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Berkaitan55
RingkasanThe Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Granger Causality Test · Vector Autoregression. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare