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Ujian Keupayaan Ramalan Bersyarat Giacomini-White×Regresi Langkah Demi Langkah×
BidangEkonometrikStatistik
KeluargaHypothesis testRegression model
Tahun asal20061960
PengasasRaffaella Giacomini & Halbert WhiteM. A. Efroymson
JenisNon-nested forecast comparison testAutomated variable selection
Sumber perintisGiacomini, R., & White, H. (2006). Tests of conditional predictive ability. Econometrica, 74(6), 1545–1578. DOI ↗Efroymson, M. A. (1960). Multiple regression analysis. In A. Ralston & H. S. Wilf (Eds.), Mathematical Methods for Digital Computers (pp. 191–203). Wiley. link ↗
AliasGW Test, Conditional Predictive Ability Test, Giacomini-White CPA Test, Koşullu Tahmin Yeteneği Testistepwise selection, forward stepwise regression, backward stepwise regression, forward-backward selection
Berkaitan35
RingkasanThe Giacomini-White (GW) test, introduced by Raffaella Giacomini and Halbert White in 2006, evaluates whether two competing forecasting methods have equal conditional predictive ability given information available at the time of forecast. Unlike unconditional tests such as the Diebold-Mariano test, it asks whether one method systematically outperforms the other in specific economic or market conditions, making it especially useful for practitioners who need state-dependent forecast comparisons.Stepwise regression is an automated variable selection procedure for multiple linear regression that adds or removes predictor variables one at a time according to a statistical criterion, typically the F-statistic or a p-value threshold. The forward-selection algorithm was formally described by Efroymson (1960) and the bidirectional variant was popularised by Draper and Smith in their landmark 1966 text Applied Regression Analysis. Despite widespread historical use, the method is now widely critiqued, making its documentation essential in any canonical methods library.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Giacomini-White Test · Stepwise Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare