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GARCH-MIDAS×VAR Kuantil×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal20122006
PengasasEngle and GhyselsKoenker and Xiao
JenisTime-varying variance modelDistribution impulse response
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗
AliasMixed-frequency volatility modelQuantile-based impulse response
Berkaitan33
RingkasanGARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: GARCH-MIDAS · Quantile VAR. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare