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Pecahan Varians Ralat Ramalan (FEVD)×Fungsi Gerak Balas Impuls (IRF)×Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR)×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2005200519802005
PengasasHelmut LütkepohlHelmut LütkepohlChristopher SimsLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisMultivariate time series analysis toolPost-estimation diagnosticStructural multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisLütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasVariance Decomposition, Error Variance Decomposition, VD Analysis, Varyans AyrıştırmasıIRF, Dynamic Multiplier, Shock Response Function, Etki Tepki FonksiyonuStructural VAR, Identified VAR, SVAR Model, Yapısal Vektör Otoregresyonvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan3324
RingkasanForecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) is a multivariate time series technique used within Vector Autoregression (VAR) frameworks to quantify what proportion of the forecast error variance of each variable is attributable to shocks from every other variable in the system. It is widely used by econometricians, macroeconomists, and financial researchers to assess the relative importance of different structural disturbances in driving short-run and long-run fluctuations across interconnected economic series.The Impulse Response Function (IRF) traces the dynamic response of each variable in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) system to a one-unit shock in one of its error terms over a user-specified forecast horizon. It is the primary tool for structural analysis following VAR estimation and is widely used in macroeconomics, monetary economics, and finance to quantify how shocks propagate through interconnected time series systems.Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) is a multivariate time-series model, developed by Christopher Sims (1980), that extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economically motivated identifying restrictions on contemporaneous relationships among variables. SVAR enables researchers to isolate orthogonal structural shocks and trace their causal dynamic effects through impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions, making it a cornerstone of modern empirical macroeconomics.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: FEVD · Impulse Response Function · SVAR · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare