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Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Model DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199120021986
PengasasDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
JenisVolatility / conditional variance modelMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
Sumber perintisNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Berkaitan655
RingkasanThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: EGARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · GARCH Model. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare