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Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Model ARCH (Heteroskedastisitas Bersyarat Autoregresif)×Model DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199119822002
PengasasDaniel B. NelsonRobert F. EngleRobert F. Engle
JenisVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility model
Sumber perintisNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
AliasExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
Berkaitan665
RingkasanThe Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: EGARCH model · ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare