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Model Keseimbangan Umum Stokastik Dinamik (DSGE)×Model Ruang Keadaan (Penuras Kalman)×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal200719902005
PengasasSmets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filterLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisMicro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium modelState space time series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisSmets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasDSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE)state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan544
RingkasanA DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: DSGE Model · State Space Model · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare