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Nilai-Risiko Bersyarat (Expected Shortfall)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
BidangKewanganEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal20001991
PengasasRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Nelson
JenisCoherent tail-risk measureConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Sumber perintisRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
AliasCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Berkaitan54
RingkasanConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Conditional Value-at-Risk · EGARCH. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare