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Component GARCH×Ujian Kausaliti dalam Varians×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19991996
PengasasEngle and LeeYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng
JenisDecomposed variance modelConditional variance test
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗
AliasVolatility components modelVolatility spillover test
Berkaitan33
RingkasanComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Component GARCH · Causality in Variance Test. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare