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Simulasi Barisan Bayesian×Simulasi Monte Carlo Bayesian×
BidangSimulasiSimulasi
KeluargaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal19941987–1990s
PengasasArmero, C. & Bayarri, M. J.O'Hagan, A. and colleagues
JenisBayesian inference + stochastic simulationSimulation / uncertainty quantification
Sumber perintisArmero, C., & Bayarri, M. J. (1994). Bayesian prediction in M/M/1 queues. Queueing Systems, 15(1–4), 401–417. DOI ↗O'Hagan, A., Buck, C. E., Daneshkhah, A., Eiser, J. R., Garthwaite, P. H., Jenkinson, D. J., Oakley, J. E., & Rakow, T. (2006). Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities. Wiley. ISBN: 9780470029992
AliasBQS, Bayesian Queue Simulation, Bayesian Stochastic Queueing, Bayesian Queuing AnalysisBayesian MC, BMC simulation, Bayesian stochastic simulation, Bayesian uncertainty propagation
Berkaitan64
RingkasanBayesian Queueing Simulation combines Bayesian statistical inference with stochastic queueing simulation to model waiting-line systems under parameter uncertainty. Instead of treating arrival and service rates as fixed known values, it places prior distributions over them, updates these with observed data to obtain posteriors, and propagates the resulting parameter uncertainty through repeated simulation runs to produce probabilistic predictions of system performance metrics such as queue length, waiting time, and server utilisation.Bayesian Monte Carlo Simulation integrates Bayesian statistical inference with Monte Carlo sampling to propagate uncertainty through complex models. Instead of drawing samples from arbitrary distributions, it conditions sampling on observed data and expert prior knowledge via Bayes' theorem, yielding posterior-based uncertainty estimates that are both statistically coherent and interpretable in probabilistic terms.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Bayesian Queueing Simulation · Bayesian Monte Carlo Simulation. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare