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Simulasi Kejadian Diskrit Bayesian×Pemodelan Berasas Ejen Bayesian×
BidangSimulasiSimulasi
KeluargaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal2000s–2010s2000s–2010s
PengasasDeveloped across operations research and Bayesian statistics communities; prominently formalized in health economic simulation in the 2000s–2010sSunnaker et al. / Grazzini & Richiardi (among key contributors)
JenisHybrid simulation-inference frameworkSimulation calibration and inference framework
Sumber perintisOnggo, B. S., & Kunc, M. (2016). Combining discrete-event simulation and Bayesian updating for incorporating evidence from real-world data. Journal of Simulation, 10(1), 1-12. link ↗Sunnaker, M., Busetto, A. G., Numminen, E., Corander, J., Foll, M., Dessimoz, C. (2013). Approximate Bayesian Computation. PLOS Computational Biology, 9(1), e1002803. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian DES, BDES, Bayesian event-driven simulation, posterior-driven discrete-event simulationBayesian ABM, ABC-ABM, Bayesian Calibration of ABM, Bayesian Agent Simulation
Berkaitan65
RingkasanBayesian Discrete-Event Simulation (BDES) integrates Bayesian statistical inference with discrete-event simulation. Prior beliefs about system parameters — such as service rates, arrival times, or failure probabilities — are updated with observed data via Bayes' theorem, and the resulting posterior distributions directly drive the simulation engine. This coupling allows modelers to propagate both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty through event-driven process models.Bayesian Agent-Based Modeling integrates Bayesian statistical inference with agent-based simulation to calibrate model parameters and quantify uncertainty. Rather than fixing agent rules and parameters by assumption, this approach treats unknown parameters as probability distributions and updates them systematically against observed data, yielding a full posterior over plausible model configurations.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Bayesian Discrete-Event Simulation · Bayesian Agent-Based Modeling. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare