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Model ARCH (Heteroskedastisitas Bersyarat Autoregresif)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19821991
PengasasRobert F. EngleNelson
JenisConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
AliasARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Berkaitan64
RingkasanThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: ARCH model · EGARCH. Dicapai 2026-06-20 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare