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STL sadalīšana: Sezonālās-trendu sadalīšana, izmantojot Loess×ARIMA (autoregresīvais integrētais slīdošā vidējā) modelis×
NozareEkonometrijaEkonometrija
SaimeProcess / pipelineRegression model
Izcelsmes gads19902015
AutorsCleveland, Cleveland, McRae & TerpenningBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
Tipsnonparametric iterative smootherUnivariate time-series model
PirmavotsCleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. (1990). STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6(1), 3–73. link ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
Citi nosaukumiSeasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess, STL filtering, Loess-based seasonal decomposition, Mevsimsel-Trend Ayrıştırma (STL)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
Saistītās35
KopsavilkumsSTL Decomposition, introduced by Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae, and Terpenning (1990), is a nonparametric procedure that separates a time series into three additive components — trend, seasonal, and remainder — using iterative locally weighted regression (loess). Widely used in economics, meteorology, and data science, it handles time series of any periodicity and is robust to the presence of outliers, making it a highly flexible alternative to classical decomposition methods.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: STL Decomposition · ARIMA. Izgūts 2026-06-17 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare