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Robustais ARCH modelis×EGARCH modelis (eksponenciālais GARCH)×Kvantīļu regresija×
NozareEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
SaimeRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Izcelsmes gads2002–200819911978
AutorsEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sDaniel B. NelsonKoenker & Bassett
TipsVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional quantile regression
PirmavotsEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Citi nosaukumirobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Saistītās665
KopsavilkumsThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: Robust ARCH model · EGARCH model · Quantile Regression. Izgūts 2026-06-18 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare