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Projekcija pa kohortām un komponentēm×Radiācijas mobilitātes un migrācijas modelis×
NozareDemogrāfijaTelpiskā analīze
SaimeProcess / pipelineRegression model
Izcelsmes gads20012012
AutorsPreston, Heuveline & GuillotFilippo Simini et al.
TipsDemographic projection pipelineParameter-free spatial interaction model
PirmavotsPreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 978-1-557-86451-2Simini, F., González, M. C., Maritan, A., & Barabási, A.-L. (2012). A universal model for mobility and migration patterns. Nature, 484, 96–100. DOI ↗
Citi nosaukumiCohort-Component Method, Component Method of Population Projection, Age-Sex-Specific Population Projection, Kohort-Bileşen ProjeksiyonuRadiation Law of Human Mobility, Parameter-free Mobility Model, Simini Radiation Model, Radyasyon Modeli
Saistītās33
KopsavilkumsCohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration for each age-sex cohort across discrete time steps. Systematically formalized in the textbook literature by Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), the method builds on foundational actuarial and demographic work dating to the early twentieth century and remains the workhorse technique used by national statistical offices and international organizations worldwide.The Radiation Model, introduced by Simini et al. in 2012, is a parameter-free model for predicting human mobility and migration flows between geographic locations. Drawing an analogy from radiation physics, it predicts trip volumes based solely on population sizes at origin and destination, and the intervening population within the circle connecting them. It has been widely applied to commuting flows, migration, and epidemic spreading.
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: Cohort-Component Projection · Radiation Model. Izgūts 2026-06-18 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare