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Beijesa atšķirību atšķirību metode×Kausaālās ietekmes analīze×
NozareCēloņsakarību secināšanaCēloņsakarību secināšana
SaimeRegression modelRegression model
Izcelsmes gads2015-20232015
AutorsLi & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)Kay H. Brodersen, Fabian Gallusser, Jim Koehler, Nicolas Remy, Steven L. Scott (Google)
TipsBayesian causal inference / panel regressionBayesian causal inference / counterfactual forecasting
PirmavotsLi, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗
Citi nosaukumiBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimatorCausalImpact, BSTS causal inference, Bayesian causal impact, counterfactual time-series analysis
Saistītās55
KopsavilkumsBayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.Causal Impact Analysis, introduced by Brodersen et al. (2015) at Google, uses Bayesian structural time-series models to estimate what would have happened to an outcome had an intervention never occurred. By constructing a probabilistic counterfactual from pre-treatment data and control covariates, it quantifies point-in-time and cumulative treatment effects with full posterior uncertainty intervals.
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: Bayesian Difference-in-Differences · Causal Impact Analysis. Izgūts 2026-06-15 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare