Real-Time Delphi
Real-Time Delphi is a roundless, asynchronous, computer-mediated reinvention of the classic Delphi method, developed by Theodore Gordon and Adam Pease in 2006. Where conventional Delphi proceeds through discrete questionnaire rounds — collect, aggregate, redistribute, repeat — Real-Time Delphi collapses the rounds entirely: experts log in to an online platform whenever they choose, see the panel's current aggregate estimates and the rationales behind them, and revise their own answers continuously, with the aggregate updating live as they do. This always-on feedback architecture preserves the core Delphi virtues of anonymity and structured feedback while removing the long delays, fixed schedules, and administrative burden of round-based administration. As described by Gordon and Pease and catalogued in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, the method makes large, distributed, and time-pressured expert elicitations practical, letting a panel converge through continuous interaction rather than through a rigid sequence of rounds.
원본 기록
방법의 원본 기록에서 그대로 복사된 인용입니다. 이로부터 수준별 검증이 추론되지 않습니다.
- Gordon, T., & Pease, A. (2006). RT Delphi: An efficient, round-less almost real time Delphi method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(4), 321-333. · DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.09.005
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. · ISBN 9780981894119
큐레이션된 주장
각각 자체 평가와 함께 증거 원장에 유지된 주장입니다.
원장에 주장 평가가 없는 경우 이 보기에서는 주장 평가를 만들지 않습니다.
관련 방법
방법 그래프에서 생성되었으며 기계가 제안한 관계로 표시됩니다 — 증거 주장이 추론되지 않습니다.