手法を比較

	Non-stationary Transformer	状態空間モデル（カルマンフィルタ）
分野	深層学習	計量経済学
系統	Machine learning	Regression model
提唱年	2022	1990
提唱者	Yong Liu et al.	Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
種類	Transformer-based time-series forecasting model	State space time series model
原典	Liu, Y., Wu, H., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2022). Non-stationary transformers: Exploring the stationarity in time series forecasting. NeurIPS.	Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press.
別名	NS-Transformer, Non-stationary Transformer Network, Stationarization-based Transformer, Durağan-Olmayan Transformer	state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
関連	3	4
概要	Non-stationary Transformer is a Transformer-based time-series forecasting architecture introduced by Yong Liu, Haixu Wu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long at NeurIPS 2022. It addresses a fundamental tension in applying Transformers to real-world time series: over-stationarization during preprocessing strips out non-stationary signals that carry predictive information, while raw non-stationary inputs cause attention to collapse. The model resolves this through series stationarization paired with a novel de-stationary attention mechanism that restores the original temporal distribution in predictions.	A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.