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マイクロシミュレーション×システムダイナミクス×
分野シミュレーションシミュレーション
系統Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
提唱年19571961
提唱者Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsJay W. Forrester
種類Policy simulation / computational social scienceContinuous simulation / feedback modelling
原典O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159
別名Mikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulationstock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation
関連53
概要Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Microsimulation · System Dynamics. 2026-06-15に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare